Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 8.864332 10.189499 11.604167 13.222205 15.016933 16.941933 19.157988
2025-02-16 6.409302 8.114399 10.072982 12.470730 15.307509 18.536930 22.470400
2025-02-23 4.717117 6.557470 8.823711 11.777058 15.477953 19.914202 25.581246
2025-03-02 3.608567 5.488477 7.960474 11.371676 15.870807 21.511018 29.013573
2025-03-09 2.890874 4.785810 7.433586 11.280430 16.587276 23.501008 33.016634
2025-03-16 2.305608 4.151812 6.888800 11.064546 17.070442 25.173827 36.672735
2025-03-23 2.035257 3.936573 6.898233 11.600873 18.594246 28.293849 42.388222
2025-03-30 1.722236 3.590254 6.652377 11.714641 19.496351 30.584341 47.069611
2025-04-06 1.367680 3.099919 6.103035 11.287413 19.539988 31.632842 50.039876
2025-04-13 1.071007 2.649339 5.547420 10.772339 19.380024 32.340183 52.516576
2025-04-20 0.963736 2.545064 5.573863 11.207840 20.718167 35.312026 58.389156
2025-04-27 0.925667 2.576413 5.845831 12.077734 22.796986 39.486781 66.192924
2025-05-04 0.844563 2.504364 5.925306 12.635455 24.431656 43.107715 73.399543
2025-05-11 0.718188 2.300983 5.723276 12.667221 25.188897 45.399989 78.694469
2025-05-18 0.584800 2.045890 5.378389 12.395226 25.400047 46.827473 82.709767
2025-05-25 0.481724 1.839433 5.101721 12.218220 25.752750 48.484594 87.132782
2025-06-01 0.410706 1.700434 4.949246 12.263188 26.492201 50.792095 92.650276
2025-06-08 0.339239 1.537100 4.714269 12.112842 26.856246 52.478609 97.220290
2025-06-15 0.318430 1.529124 4.846949 12.737632 28.696231 56.728704 106.086311
2025-06-22 0.276967 1.438396 4.762183 12.888164 29.641156 59.477121 112.570963
2025-06-29 0.217499 1.259328 4.421544 12.442264 29.401578 60.152805 115.634066
2025-07-06 0.165836 1.084200 4.055718 11.893619 28.911396 60.349489 117.879959
2025-07-13 0.153216 1.068556 4.130459 12.370165 30.501798 64.312599 126.624420